Explainer: Floor test or Uddhav Thackeray’s resignation!, know under what circumstances the current government can fall

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Mumbai. Due to the rebellion of Shiv Sena leader and minister in Maharashtra government Eknath Shinde, instability has arisen in the politics of the state. At present, around 35 Shiv Sena MLAs are present in Guwahati along with the Shinde faction. At the same time, Chief Minister and party supremo Uddhav Thackeray has demanded to cancel the membership of many rebel MLAs. Eknath Shinde has claimed that he has the support of 50 MLAs, including independents, which makes his faction the “real Shiv Sena”. On the other hand, the Thackeray-led Shiv Sena has demanded the disqualification of 12 MLAs of the Shinde camp for not attending the legislature party meeting on Wednesday. Responding to this, Eknath Shinde said that according to the 10th Schedule of the Constitution, the party whip is issued for the proceedings of the legislature and not for attending the meeting.

The disqualification of the MLAs could most likely be the opening scene of the second act of Maharashtra’s political drama. The current Shiv Sena-NCP-Congress government in Maharashtra can fall only if Uddhav Thackeray chooses to resign due to lack of numbers or if he loses the floor test in the assembly. That’s why we are going to tell you about all those possible incidents, which can happen in Maharashtra politics. In an emotional appeal to the Shinde camp, Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray has already offered to step down from the top post and on Wednesday left the official residence ‘Varsha’ for the family residence ‘Matoshree’. Shinde, however, insisted that he break the alliance with the NCP and the Congress.

resignation or floor test

Let us inform that Eknath Shinde and 50 MLAs claim that they have officially informed the Governor of Maharashtra about the withdrawal of support to the Thackeray government. If this happens then Uddhav Thackeray may have to resign from the post of CM. If CM Uddhav Thackeray resigns, then in this situation the governor will probably call upon the BJP to form the government. After this BJP will have to prove majority in the assembly. The BJP can go ahead with the alleged support of MLAs loyal to Shinde. If Uddhav Thackeray does not resign, he will have to face a floor test in the assembly.

This is a bleak prospect for the chief minister, given the number of rival factions. If Thackeray fails the floor test, the government will fall, again creating a scenario where the BJP will be called upon to form the government. But if the BJP is unable to increase the numbers, there will most likely be President’s rule in the state, as it did in November 2019. During this period the options for forming the government are explored and new coalitions can be formed. However, if the impasse continues, fresh assembly elections may also be held in the state.

anti-defection law

Anti-defection law penalizes elected representatives who switch parties with disqualification. MPs and MLAs, however, can circumvent the law if their numbers are greater than or equal to two-thirds of the party’s strength in the legislature. The faction may then merge with another party or remain a separate group in the House. Shiv Sena has 55 MLAs in the 288-member Assembly, including the Shinde camp. Shinde needs at least 36 MLAs to stay safe from the anti-defection rule.

Tags: Maharashtra, Uddhav Thackeray

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